Who's your money on?
SPORTSBET has released the odds for every seat in the Federal Election just hours after the PM said we'd be going to the polls.
In a couple of key bellwether seats the Coalition are well ahead.
For example in Page in Northern New South Wales Nationals MP Kevin Hogan is well out in front of Labor's Janelle Saffin - with odds of $1.15 against $5.00.
In Dawson - in Queensland's north - which has also been an historical bellwether seat Sportsbet is tipping the return of another National George Christensen at odds of $1.10 to $6.00 for a Labor candidate.
Finally Eden-Monaro on the edge of the Snowy Mountains is often called the classic bellwether seat, having gone to the party that goes on to form government in every election since 1972.
And there the Coalition has a healthy lead with odds of $1.45 against $2.60 for Labor.
It's therefore not surprising that while the polling suggests it will be close, the Coalition has a healthy $1.30 lead to Labor's $3.50 in sportsbet.com.au's Sworn In Government market.
The online bookmaker today updated its 150 seat market, maintaining the Coalition as the clear favourite in 85 seats, with Labor heading the betting in 61 seats.
In terms of independents Adam Bandt ($1.05) is the favourite in Melbourne, Bob Katter ($1.20) in Kennedy, Cathy McGowan ($1.33) in Indi, and Andrew Wilkie ($1.15) in Denison.
However Deputy PM Barnaby Joyce is still expected to keep his seat out of the clutches of Tony Windsor despite a much hyped showdown in the seat of New England, in Northern NSW.
Labor's Primary Vote will continue to be its Achilles heel, with Sportsbet predicting a primary vote of 32-33.99%, which is paying $2.70.
It's worse news for Clive Palmer's PUP, which is expected to win less than 1% of the national vote, with 0.00-0.99% the odds-on favourite at $1.50.
The odds for a hung parliament have been slashed from $8.50 into $4.00.
Sportsbet is predicting Sunday, 8 May will be the date Malcom Turnbull officially asks the Governor-General to dissolve both houses of parliament, priced as the $3.00 favourite.
"Malcolm Turnbull will ask the Australian people to vote him back in as Prime Minister less than 300 days after toppling Tony Abbott from the top job. The odds suggest Turnbull will win the election comfortably, but anything can happen during a long 75 day campaign - may the election gaffes begin," said sportsbet.com.au's Ben Bulmer.
Markets courtesy sportsbet.com.au
Sworn In Government
$1.30 Coalition (out from $1.10)
$3.50 Labor (in from $6.00)
Hung Parliament
$1.22 No
$4.00 Yes
When will Malcolm Turnbull dissolve both houses parliament?
$4.00 Friday May 6
$4.00 Saturday May 7
$3.00 Sunday May 8
$7.50 Monday May 9
$7.50 Tuesday May 10
$11 Wednesday May 11
$7.00 Malcolm Turnbull does not dissolve both houses parliament
Labor Primary Vote
$8.00 Less than 30%
$4.50 30-31.99%
$2.70 33-33.99%
$3.00 34-35.99%
$7.50 36-37.99%
$15 38-39.99
Others quoted
Greens Primary Vote
$21 Less than 5%
$13 5.00-5.99%
$11 6.00-6.99%
$7.50 7.00-7.99%
$4.00 8.00-8.99%
$4.00 9.00-9.99%
$6.50 10-10.99%
PUP Primary Vote
$1.50 0.00-0.99%
$5.00 1.00-1.99%
$6.00 2.00-2.99%
$16 3.00-3.99%
$11 4.00% or more
Federal Election - All 150 electorates
Adelaide (SA)
$1.11 Labor
$7.00 Any other
$12 Coalition
$21 Greens
Aston (VIC)
$1.03 Coalition
$8.50 Labor
$26 Greens
$34 Any other
Ballarat (VIC)
$1.01 Labor
$12 Coalition
$21 Greens
$26 Any other
Banks (NSW)
$1.20 Coalition
$4.50 Labor
$21 Greens
$26 Any other
Barker (SA)
$1.05 Coalition
$7.00 Any other
$26 Labor
$26 Greens
Barton (NSW)
$1.10 Labor
$6.00 Coalition
$26 Greens
$26 Any other
Bass (TAS)
$1.35 Coalition
$3.00 Labor
$26 Greens
$26 Any other
Batman (VIC)
$1.10 Labor
$6.00 Greens
$26 Any other
$26 Coalition
Bendigo (VIC)
$1.15 Labor
$5.00 Coalition
$26 Greens
$26 Any other
Bennelong (NSW)
$1.01 Coalition
$12 Labor
$26 Any other
$26 Greens
Berowra (NSW)
$1.01 Coalition
$12 Labor
$26 Any other
$26 Greens
Blair (QLD)
$1.05 Labor
$8.50 Coalition
$26 Greens
$26 Any other
Blaxland (NSW)
$1.01 Labor
$12 Coalition
$26 Greens
$26 Any other
Bonner (QLD)
$1.30 Coalition
$3.24 Labor
$26 Greens
$26 Any other
Boothby (SA)
$1.30 Coalition
$5.00 Any other
$7.50 Labor
$26 Greens
Bowman (QLD)
$1.10 Coalition
$6.50 Labor
$17 Any other
$26 Greens
Braddon (TAS)
$1.40 Coalition
$2.75 Labor
$21 Any other
$26 Greens
Bradfield (NSW)
$1.01 Coalition
$12 Labor
$21 Any other
$26 Greens
Brand (WA)
$1.01 Labor
$13 Coalition
$21 Greens
$26 Any other
Brisbane (QLD)
$1.30 Coalition
$2.75 Labor
$21 Greens
$26 Any other
Bruce (VIC)
$1.30 Labor
$3.30 Coalition
$21 Greens
$26 Any other
Burt (WA)
$1.67 Coalition
$2.10 Labor
$34 Any Other
Calare (NSW)
$1.01 Coalition
$12 Any other
$21 Labor
$26 Greens
Calwell (VIC)
$1.01 Labor
$11 Coalition
$21 Greens
$26 Any other
Canberra (ACT)
$1.01 Labor
$12 Coalition
$26 Greens
$26 Any other
Canning (WA)
$1.01 Coalition
$12 Labor
$26 Greens
$21 Any other
Capricornia (QLD)
$1.60 Labor
$2.25 Coalition
$26 Greens
$26 Any other
Casey (VIC)
$1.01 Coalition
$12 Labor
$26 Greens
$26 Any other
Chifley (NSW)
$1.01 Labor
$16 Coalition
$21 Greens
$21 Any other
Chisholm (VIC)
$1.25 Labor
$3.75 Coalition
$21 Greens
$26 Any other
Cook (NSW)
$1.01 Coalition
$16 Labor
$16 Greens
$12 Any other
Corangamite (VIC)
$1.20 Coalition
$4.50 Labor
$21 Greens
$26 Any other
Corio (VIC)
$1.10 Labor
$8.00 Greens
$16 Coalition
$26 Any other
Cowan (WA)
$1.75 Coalition
$2.00 Labor
$26 Greens
$26 Any other
Cowper (NSW)
$1.01 Coalition
$11 Any other
$16 Labor
$26 Greens
Cunningham (NSW)
$1.01 Labor
$13 Any other
$21 Coalition
$21 Greens
Curtin (WA)
$1.01 Coalition
$16 Labor
$16 Greens
$26 Any other
Dawson (QLD)
$1.10 Coalition
$6.00 Labor
$26 Any other
$26 Greens
Deakin (VIC)
$1.20 Coalition
$4.50 Labor
$15 Greens
$26 Any other
Denison (TAS)
$1.15 Andrew Wilkie
$5.50 Labor
$16 Greens
$21 Coalition
$26 Any Other
Dickson (QLD)
$1.08 Coalition
$6.00 Labor
$26 Greens
$26 Any other
Dobell (NSW)
$1.60 Labor
$2.25 Coalition
$26 Any other
$26 Greens
Dunkley (VIC)
$1.16 Coalition
$4.20 Labor
$21 Greens
$26 Any other
Durack (WA)
$1.01 Coalition
$12 Any other
$21 Labor
$26 Greens
Eden-Monaro (NSW)
$1.45 Coalition
$2.60 Labor
$26 Greens
$26 Any
Fadden (QLD)
$1.01 Coalition
$16 Labor
$16 Any other
$26 Greens
Fairfax (QLD)
$1.05 Coalition
$11 PUP
$16 Labor
$26 Greens
$26 Any other
Farrer (NSW)
$1.01 Coalition
$12 Any other
$21 Labor
$21 Greens
Fisher (QLD)
$1.10 Coalition
$7.50 Labor
$17 Any other
$21 Greens
Flinders (VIC)
$1.01 Coalition
$12 Labor
$21 Any other
$26 Greens
Flynn (QLD)
$1.10 Coalition
$6.50 Labor
$16 Any other
$34 Greens
Forde (QLD)
$1.20 Coalition
$3.50 Labor
$26 Greens
$26 Any other
Forrest (WA)
$1.01 Coalition
$12 Labor
$21 Any other
$26 Greens
Fowler (NSW)
$1.01 Labor
$16 Any other
$21 Coalition
$21 Greens
Franklin (TAS)
$1.07 Labor
$8.00 Coalition
$11 Greens
$26 Any other
Fraser (ACT)
$1.01 Labor
$16 Coalition
$21 Greens
$21 Any other
Fremantle (WA)
$1.15 Labor
$6.00 Greens
$13 Coalition
$26 Any other
Gellibrand (VIC)
$1.01 Labor
$12 Greens
$16 Coalition
$26 Any other
Gilmore (NSW)
$1.05 Coalition
$9.00 Labor
$21 Greens
$26 Any other
Gippsland (VIC)
$1.01 Coalition
$12 Any other
$21 Labor
$26 Greens
Goldstein (VIC)
$1.01 Coalition
$12 Labor
$26 Any other
$26 Greens
Gorton (VIC)
$1.01 Labor
$16 Coalition
$16 Greens
$26 Any other
Grayndler (NSW)
$1.35 Labor
$3.24 Greens
$16 Coalition
$26 Any other
Greenway (NSW)
$1.30 Labor
$3.30 Coalition
$21 Greens
$26 Any other
Grey (SA)
$1.01 Coalition
$12 Labor
$26 Any Other
$26 Greens
Griffith (QLD)
$1.15 Labor
$5.00 Coalition
$21 Greens
$26 Any other
Groom (QLD)
$1.01 Coalition
$12 Any other
$21 Nick Xenophon Team
$26 Labor
$26 Greens
Hasluck (WA)
$1.30 Coalition
$3.30 Labor
$21 Greens
$26 Any other
Herbert (QLD)
$1.14 Coalition
$5.00 Labor
$21 Any other
$26 Greens
Higgins (VIC)
$1.15 Coalition
$7.50 Greens
$11 Nick Xenophon Team
$16 Labor
$26 Any other
Hindmarsh (SA)
$1.75 Labor
$2.75 Coalition
$5.50 Any other
$26 Greens
Hinkler (QLD)
$1.10 Coalition
$6.50 Labor
$15 Any
$26 Greens
Holt (VIC)
$1.01 Labor
$12 Coalition
$21 Greens
$26 Any other
Hotham (VIC)
$1.01 Labor
$12 Coalition
$21 Greens
$26 Any other
Hughes (NSW)
$1.01 Coalition
$12 Labor
$21 Any other
$26 Greens
Hume (NSW)
$1.01 Coalition
$15 Labor
$21 Any other
$26 Greens
Hunter (NSW)
$1.01 Labor
$12 Coalition
$26 Any other
$26 Greens
Indi (VIC)
$1.33 Cathy McGowan
$3.50 Liberals
$11 Nationals
$16 Labor
$51 Greens
Isaacs (VIC)
$1.15 Labor
$5.00 Coalition
$21 Greens
$26 Any other
Jagajaga (VIC)
$1.01 Labor
$12 Coalition
$21 Greens
$26 Any other
Kennedy (QLD)
$1.20 KAP
$4.25 Coalition
$21 Labor
$26 Greens
$26 Any other
Kingsford Smith (NSW)
$1.30 Labor
$3.74 Coalition
$11 Greens
$26 Any other
Kingston (SA)
$1.12 Labor
$6.00 Any other
$21 Coalition
$26 Greens
Kooyong (VIC)
$1.01 Coalition
$12 Labor
$26 Greens
$26 Any other
La Trobe (VIC)
$1.10 Coalition
$5.00 Labor
$21 Greens
$26 Any other
Lalor (VIC)
$1.01 Labor
$11 Coalition
$21 Greens
$26 Any other
Leichardt (QLD)
$1.10 Coalition
$8.00 Labor
$12 Any other
$26 Greens
Lilley (QLD)
$1.20 Labor
$3.50 Coalition
$21 Greens
$26 Any other
Lindsay (NSW)
$1.12 Coalition
$5.50 Labor
$21 Greens
$26 Any other
Lingiari (NT)
$1.10 Labor
$6.00 Coalition
$21 Greens
$26 Any other
Longman (QLD)
$1.08 Coalition
$6.00 Labor
$26 Greens
$26 Any other
Lyne (NSW)
$1.01 Coalition
$12 Any other
$26 Green
$26 Labor
Lyons (TAS)
$1.75 Labor
$2.10 Coalition
$16 Any other
$26 Greens
Macarthur (NSW)
$1.15 Coalition
$4.50 Labor
$26 Any other
$34 Greens
Mackellar (NSW)
$1.10 Coalition
$6.00 Any other
$21 Labor
$26 Greens
Macquarie (NSW)
$1.01 Coalition
$13 Labor
$21 Greens
$26 Any other
Makin (SA)
$1.08 Labor
$7.00 Any other
$16 Coalition
$26 Greens
Mallee (VIC)
$1.01 Coalition
$12 Any other
$21 Labor
$26 Greens
Maranoa (QLD)
$1.01 Coalition
$12 Any other
$21 Labor
$26 Greens
Maribyrnong (VIC)
$1.01 Labor
$11 Coalition
$21 Greens
$26 Any other
Mayo (SA)
$1.07 Coalition
$7.00 Nick Xenophon Team
$21 Any other
$26 Labor
$26 Greens
McEwen (VIC)
$1.60 Coalition
$2.25 Labor
$21 Any other
McMahon (NSW)
$1.01 Labor
$11 Coalition
$26 Any other
McMillan (VIC)
$1.02 Coalition
$11 Labor
$21 Any other
McPherson (QLD)
$1.01 Coalition
$12 Labor
$21 Any other
Melbourne (VIC)
$1.05 Greens
$9.00 Labor
$21 Coalition
Melbourne Ports (VIC)
$1.15 Labor
$5.00 Greens
$11 Coalition
$26 Any other
Menzies (VIC)
$1.01 Coalition
$26 Greens
$26 Labor
$34 Any other
Mitchell (NSW)
$1.01 Coalition
$16 Labor
$16 Any other
$16 Greens
Moncrieff (QLD)
$1.01 Coalition
$16 Labor
$16 Any other
$16 Greens
Moore (WA)
$1.01 Coalition
$12 Labor
$21 Any other
$26 Greens
Moreton (QLD)
$1.35 Labor
$3.00 Coalition
$21 Greens
$26 Any other
Murray (VIC)
$1.75 Nationals
$2.00 Liberal
$16 Any Other
$21 Labor
$26 Greens
New England (NSW)
$1.50 Coalition
$2.50 Tony Windsor
$21 Any Other
$21 Labor
$24 Greens
Newcastle (NSW)
$1.04 Labor
$12 Coalition
$17 Any other
$21 Greens
North Sydney (NSW)
$1.01 Coalition
$16 Labor
$21 Any other
$21 Greens
O'Connor (WA)
$1.01 Coalition
$16 Any Other
$16 Labor
$26 Greens
Oxley (QLD)
$1.01 Labor
$12 Coalition
$21 Greens
$26 Any other
Page (NSW)
$1.15 Coalition
$5.00 Labor
$21 Greens
$26 Any other
Parkes (NSW)
$1.01 Coalition
$12 Any Other
$26 Labor
$26 Greens
Parramatta (NSW)
$1.50 Labor
$2.50 Coalition
$21 Greens
$26 Any other
Paterson (NSW)
$1.60 Labor
$2.30 Labor
$15 Any other
$26 Greens
Pearce (WA)
$1.10 Coalition
$6.00 Labor
$21 Greens
$26 Any other
Perth (WA)
$1.01 Labor
$13 Coalition
$21 Greens
$26 Any other
Petrie (QLD)
$1.75 Labor
$2.00 Coalition
$26 Any other
$26 Greens
Port Adelaide (SA)
$1.01 Labor
$16 Coalition
$16 Greens
$26 Any Other
Rankin (QLD)
$1.01 Labor
$12 Coalition
$21 Any other
$26 Greens
Reid (NSW)
$1.15 Coalition
$5.00 Labor
$26 Any other
$26 Greens
Richmond (NSW)
$1.45 Labor
$4.50 Coalition
$5.00 Greens
$26 Any Other
Riverina (NSW)
$1.01 Coalition
$12 Any Other
$21 Labor
$26 Greens
Robertson (NSW)
$1.10 Coalition
$6.00 Labor
$21 Greens
$26 Any other
Ryan (QLD)
$1.07 Coalition
$9.00 Labor
$16 Greens
$26 Any other
Scullin (VIC)
$1.05 Labor
$8.00 Greens
$16 Coalition
$26 Any other
Shortland (NSW)
$1.01 Labor
$12 Coalition
$21 Greens
$26 Any other
Solomon (NT)
$1.50 Labor
$2.50 Coalition
$26 Any other
$26 Greens
Stirling (WA)
$1.02 Coalition
$10 Labor
$26 Any other
$26 Greens
Sturt (SA)
$1.20 Coalition
$4.00 Nick Xenophon Team
$21 Labor
$26 Green
Swan (WA)
$1.20 Coalition
$4.00 Labor
$16 Greens
$26 Any other
Sydney (NSW)
$1.05 Labor
$8.50 Greens
$21 Coalition
$26 Any other
Tangney (WA)
$1.01 Coalition
$16 Greens
$16 Labor
$26 Any Other
Wakefield (SA)
$1.08 Labor
$7.00 Any Other
$16 Coalition
$26 Green
Wannon (VIC)
$1.01 Coalition
$12 Any Other
$21 Labor
$26 Greens
Warringah (NSW)
$1.06 Coalition
$8.00 Nick Xenophon Team
$9.00 Any Other
$21 Labor
$26 Greens
Watson (NSW)
$1.01 Labor
$11 Coalition
$26 Any other
$26 Greens
Wentworth (NSW)
$1.01 Coalition
$16 Labor
$16 Any other
$16 Greens
Werriwa (NSW)
$1.01 Labor
$11 Coalition
$21 Greens
$26 Any other
Whitlam (NSW)
$1.01 Labor
$12 Coalition
$16 Any Other
$26 Greens
Wide Bay (QLD)
$1.07 Coalition
$7.00 Labor
$15 Any Other
$26 Greens
Wills (VIC)
$1.07 Labor
$7.00 Green
$21 Coalition
$26 Any Other
Wright (QLD)
$1.01 Coalition
$13 Labor
$21 Any other
$26 Greens
